Third Division Round 10

Arbroath vs Albion Rovers analysis

Arbroath Albion Rovers
51 ELO 43
4.7% Tilt 10.7%
2509º General ELO ranking 4667º
28º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
67.8%
Arbroath
19.1%
Draw
13.1%
Albion Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
Arbroath
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.1%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arbroath
+6%
-5%
Albion Rovers

ELO progression

Arbroath
Albion Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2005
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 0
Elgin City
ELG
60%
22%
19%
51 47 4 0
07 Oct. 2005
EAS
East Fife
1 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
45%
25%
29%
51 51 0 0
01 Oct. 2005
QUE
Queen's Park
2 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
46%
25%
29%
51 52 1 0
24 Sep. 2005
ARB
Arbroath
0 - 3
Cowdenbeath
CWB
46%
26%
28%
52 55 3 -1
17 Sep. 2005
BER
Berwick Rangers
3 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
55%
23%
23%
53 58 5 -1

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2005
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 3
Cowdenbeath
CWB
35%
27%
38%
42 58 16 0
01 Oct. 2005
THE
East Stirlingshire
3 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
41%
24%
35%
44 37 7 -2
24 Sep. 2005
ALB
Albion Rovers
0 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
34%
26%
40%
45 59 14 -1
17 Sep. 2005
ELG
Elgin City
2 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
53%
23%
23%
44 47 3 +1
10 Sep. 2005
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 4
East Fife
EAS
51%
24%
26%
45 49 4 -1