Third Division Round 34

Arbroath vs Albion Rovers analysis

Arbroath Albion Rovers
52 ELO 40
7.4% Tilt 7.9%
2498º General ELO ranking 4666º
28º Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
73.2%
Arbroath
16.9%
Draw
9.9%
Albion Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
Arbroath
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
Albion Rovers
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arbroath
+10%
-1%
Albion Rovers

ELO progression

Arbroath
Albion Rovers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2006
ELG
Elgin City
4 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
45%
25%
30%
53 51 2 0
01 Apr. 2006
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 0
Queen's Park
QUE
56%
24%
20%
53 52 1 0
25 Mar. 2006
CWB
Cowdenbeath
4 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
59%
22%
19%
54 59 5 -1
21 Mar. 2006
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 0
Montrose
MON
71%
18%
11%
53 45 8 +1
18 Mar. 2006
ARB
Arbroath
0 - 2
Berwick Rangers
BER
46%
26%
28%
54 58 4 -1

Matches

Albion Rovers
Albion Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2006
CWB
Cowdenbeath
2 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
75%
16%
9%
41 61 20 0
01 Apr. 2006
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 0
East Stirlingshire
THE
68%
18%
14%
41 35 6 0
25 Mar. 2006
BER
Berwick Rangers
2 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
68%
20%
12%
41 59 18 0
21 Mar. 2006
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 0
Queen's Park
QUE
35%
27%
38%
40 52 12 +1
18 Mar. 2006
ALB
Albion Rovers
1 - 2
Elgin City
ELG
38%
25%
36%
41 50 9 -1