Iraq League Round 6

Erbil vs Naft Maysan analysis

Erbil Naft Maysan
70 ELO 70
-6.7% Tilt 5.6%
1576º General ELO ranking 1562º
15º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
47.3%
Erbil
27.6%
Draw
25.1%
Naft Maysan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
Erbil
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.1%
Win probability
Naft Maysan
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erbil
-14%
-4%
Naft Maysan

ELO progression

Erbil
Naft Maysan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erbil
Erbil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2018
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
0 - 1
Erbil
ARB
36%
27%
37%
69 67 2 0
05 Oct. 2018
ARB
Erbil
1 - 1
Alsinat Alkahrabaiya
ALK
54%
26%
21%
69 67 2 0
29 Sep. 2018
NAF
Naft Al-Janoob
2 - 1
Erbil
ARB
31%
27%
42%
70 65 5 -1
23 Sep. 2018
ARB
Erbil
1 - 0
Al Talaba
ALT
51%
25%
24%
69 66 3 +1
14 Sep. 2018
ALN
Al Naft
2 - 2
Erbil
ARB
64%
21%
15%
69 80 11 0

Matches

Naft Maysan
Naft Maysan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2018
NAF
Naft Maysan
4 - 1
Al Diwaniya
DIW
63%
22%
14%
70 60 10 0
06 Oct. 2018
NAF
Naft Maysan
1 - 0
Al Hussein
ALH
69%
20%
11%
69 55 14 +1
24 Sep. 2018
NAF
Naft Maysan
3 - 1
Al Simawa
ALS
55%
25%
21%
69 63 6 0
17 Sep. 2018
ALK
Al Kahrabaa
1 - 2
Naft Maysan
NAF
46%
29%
25%
68 68 0 +1
18 Jul. 2018
NAF
Naft Maysan
3 - 0
Al Najaf
ALN
46%
27%
28%
72 72 0 -4