Erbil vs Al Karkh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2002 |
ALS
0 - 1
ARB
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
ARB
1 - 0
RAM
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALI
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
ALQ
1 - 0
ARB
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
ARB
3 - 0
ALS
62%
21%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al Karkh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2002 |
JAI
1 - 2
KAR
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
ADI
1 - 1
KAR
53%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
KAR
3 - 1
DIW
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
KAR
1 - 2
ALS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2002 |
ALN
2 - 1
KAR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |