Erbil vs Al Ahli Ta'izz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
4 - 1
ALN
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ALS
1 - 1
ARB
21%
28%
51%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
3 - 1
ALT
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
ALZ
0 - 1
ARB
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
BAG
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Ta'izz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALS
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
TAL
2 - 0
ALA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
ELA
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
ALS
1 - 1
ALA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
ASB
45%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |