Arba Minch Kenema vs Harar Birra analysis


56	ELO	54
-15.4%	Tilt	-9.7%
4634º	General ELO ranking	31715º
11º	Country ELO ranking	26º
ELO win probability

44.9%

Arba Minch Kenema

27.1%

Draw

28%

Harar Birra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

45%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%

27.1%

Draw

0-0

9%

1-1

12.8%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.7%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.1%

27.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arba Minch Kenema

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
09 Feb. 2014	AMK 0 - 1 KGI 46% 27% 27%	55	55
29 Dec. 2013	SIB 0 - 0 AMK 45% 27% 28%	55	55
22 Dec. 2013	AMK 1 - 1 ETB 43% 27% 30%	55	55
14 Dec. 2013	MEH 0 - 1 AMK 52% 24% 24%	55	55
08 Dec. 2013	AMK 0 - 0 WED 44% 26% 30%	55	55

Matches

Harar Birra

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
09 Feb. 2014	HAR 1 - 0 SIB 42% 29% 29%	55	55
22 Dec. 2013	HAR 0 - 0 MEH 42% 28% 30%	55	55
15 Dec. 2013	WED 0 - 0 HAR 50% 25% 25%	55	55
09 Dec. 2013	HAR 0 - 1 ENB 44% 29% 28%	55	55
04 Dec. 2013	AWK 2 - 1 HAR 46% 26% 27%	55	55