Arba Minch Kenema vs Hadiya Hosaena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
11º
15º
14º
43
2º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arba Minch Kenema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 2
AMK
45%
29%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AMK
3 - 4
ETH
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 0
AMK
46%
28%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 0
AMK
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
AMK
0 - 1
KGI
39%
30%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hadiya Hosaena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DIR
1 - 3
HAD
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HAD
4 - 1
SIB
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
HAD
41%
28%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SIB
2 - 2
HAD
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HAD
2 - 2
WED
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |