Araz PFK vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
8º
8º
42
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
KAF
1 - 6
ARA
3%
8%
90%
|
71 | 7 | 64 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 1
ARA
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
FCK
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 0
ARA
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 1
QAR
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
SAF
0 - 7
SEB
41%
22%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SEB
0 - 0
FCK
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
QAR
3 - 1
SEB
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 1
TUR
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZIR
2 - 2
SEB
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |