Araz PFK vs Qaradağ Lökbatan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
2º
1º
41
5º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
FKQ
5 - 0
ARA
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
ENE
1 - 0
ARA
20%
26%
54%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 3
MOI
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
ARA
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
TUR
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Qaradağ Lökbatan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
5 - 0
FKQ
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
FKQ
2 - 1
FKQ
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 1
FKQ
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 0
ZIK
73%
18%
10%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKS
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |