Aravaca vs EF Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CDS
0 - 2
ARA
28%
25%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
MOR
29%
23%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SIE
4 - 0
ARA
52%
24%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
4 - 2
ATM
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 1
ARA
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
EF Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BPI
1 - 2
EFC
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
EFC
3 - 0
CDS
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
3 - 0
EFC
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
EFC
0 - 1
SIE
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 1
EFC
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |