Aravaca vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 0
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
ATB
15%
20%
65%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MEX
0 - 0
ARA
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 1
RVB
23%
23%
54%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CVI
2 - 3
ARA
10%
21%
70%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
5 - 0
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDM
0 - 1
PNT
40%
24%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 4
CDM
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDM
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 1
NAV
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |