Tercera Division Region of Madrid Round 19

Aravaca vs Alcorcón B analysis

Aravaca Alcorcón B
26 ELO 27
-5.9% Tilt -10.1%
9459º General ELO ranking 8034º
519º Country ELO ranking 384º
ELO win probability
51%
Aravaca
24.3%
Draw
24.7%
Alcorcón B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
Aravaca
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.7%
Win probability
Alcorcón B
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aravaca
-30%
-6%
Alcorcón B

ELO progression

Aravaca
Alcorcón B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aravaca
Aravaca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2013
COL
Colmenar Viejo
2 - 1
Aravaca
ARA
51%
24%
25%
28 29 1 0
01 Dec. 2013
ARA
Aravaca
0 - 2
Unión Adarve
ADA
33%
27%
40%
30 37 7 -2
24 Nov. 2013
INT
Internacional de Madrid
2 - 0
Aravaca
ARA
55%
24%
21%
31 36 5 -1
17 Nov. 2013
ARA
Aravaca
1 - 2
Atlético de Pinto
PNT
48%
25%
27%
32 31 1 -1
13 Nov. 2013
YEB
CD Los Yébenes-San Bruno
1 - 4
Aravaca
ARA
26%
25%
49%
31 20 11 +1

Matches

Alcorcón B
Alcorcón B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 2013
ALC
Alcorcón B
1 - 2
UD Sanse
SSR
18%
25%
57%
27 43 16 0
01 Dec. 2013
TRJ
AD Torrejón CF
2 - 0
Alcorcón B
ALC
46%
24%
30%
28 25 3 -1
24 Nov. 2013
ALC
Alcorcón B
3 - 0
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
56%
23%
21%
27 23 4 +1
16 Nov. 2013
ALC
RSD Alcalá
1 - 1
Alcorcón B
ALC
69%
21%
11%
27 45 18 0
13 Nov. 2013
ALC
Alcorcón B
1 - 0
CD San Fernando
SFN
32%
25%
43%
25 30 5 +2