Ararat vs Maarjamäe FC Igiliikur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 2
TIN
12%
20%
68%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
TMK
3 - 0
FCA
36%
21%
43%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FCA
6 - 3
TJK
36%
21%
43%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MST
1 - 2
FCA
56%
19%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 0
PTV
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Maarjamäe FC Igiliikur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
2 - 0
VIG
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 6
WEL
13%
19%
69%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
GAN
3 - 1
VIG
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
VIG
0 - 9
FLO
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 58 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
FLO
2 - 3
VIG
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | +1 |