Arapongas vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
2 - 0
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 2
OPE
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 1
JMA
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
ARA
92%
6%
2%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LON
1 - 3
ARA
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
JMA
80%
15%
6%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 3
ATP
13%
20%
67%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
TCW
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 2
ATP
17%
23%
60%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
ROM
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |