Copa Federacion . 1/16
Global 4-4
Arandina vs Mirandés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arandina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACF
2 - 1
LEO
81%
13%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LVC
0 - 1
ACF
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ACF
3 - 0
UXA
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
NUM
0 - 0
ACF
32%
25%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ACF
7 - 0
CEB
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 0
MIR
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 0
SDA
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 0
MIR
16%
24%
61%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
3 - 0
TUD
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ATH
1 - 3
MIR
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |