Arahal vs CD Gerena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
67.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LCF
8 - 0
ARH
80%
14%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARH
0 - 0
PAR
17%
22%
61%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 0
ARH
73%
18%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARH
3 - 1
PEN
16%
21%
63%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
ARH
81%
14%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Gerena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CDG
0 - 0
BAR
60%
20%
19%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASJ
3 - 1
CDG
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CDG
1 - 0
ESP
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 2
CDG
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CDG
5 - 0
SOL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |