Arahal vs CD Demo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
ARH
14%
21%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ARH
1 - 0
MON
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CLA
1 - 5
ARH
42%
23%
35%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ARH
5 - 0
NER
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAZ
4 - 0
ARH
43%
23%
34%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
CD Demo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CDD
2 - 2
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 1
CDD
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CDD
12 - 1
NER
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAZ
0 - 0
CDD
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CDD
3 - 0
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |