Aragua U20 vs Carabobo U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
ARA
23%
22%
56%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 3
CMV
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 1
ARA
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HEG
0 - 3
ARA
18%
20%
62%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 0
TUC
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
UCA
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 1
SFE
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 3
CAR
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HEG
0 - 2
CAR
29%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |