Aragua U20 vs Carabobo U20 analysis


47	ELO	41
1.5%	Tilt	-1.9%
26780º	General ELO ranking	26781º
86º	Country ELO ranking	87º
ELO win probability

61.8%

Aragua U20

20.8%

Draw

17.4%

Carabobo U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

61.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%

20.8%

Draw

0-0

4.9%

1-1

9.8%

2-2

4.9%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

20.8%

17.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%