Aragua FC vs Zamora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
DEP
28%
29%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
ARA
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 0
ARA
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
ARA
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zamora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CFC
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 0
ZAM
18%
25%
57%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MIN
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ZAM
3 - 1
TRU
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 2
ZAM
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |