Aragua FC vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
26%
30%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAR
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
COQ
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARA
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
3 - 0
GVA
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
MON
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 1
YAR
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
MON
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |