Aragua FC vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ZUL
0 - 4
ARA
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 0
ARA
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
ZAM
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
ZUL
48%
22%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
DEP
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ZAM
1 - 0
DEP
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DEP
3 - 2
MIN
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |