Árabe Unido vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
10º
11º
11º
5
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 31 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 28 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 26 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 24 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 22 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 22 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 22 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 20 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 19 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 19 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 15 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 12 |
12º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
1.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 1
AFC
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
UME
1 - 0
ARA
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 4
AMA
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
AFC
3 - 2
ARA
38%
30%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
TAU
2 - 1
ARA
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
SMI
2 - 0
TAU
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 1
SMI
42%
30%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
SMI
0 - 1
UME
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
SMI
1 - 2
SFF
46%
28%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SMI
0 - 1
AMA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |