Sul-Matogrossense 1st Stage Round 4

Aquidauanense vs Ivinhema analysis

Aquidauanense Ivinhema
41 ELO 49
-10.3% Tilt -6.4%
7228º General ELO ranking 5824º
293º Country ELO ranking 211º
ELO win probability
15.2%
Aquidauanense
18.9%
Draw
65.9%
Ivinhema

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
Aquidauanense
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65.9%
Win probability
Ivinhema
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aquidauanense
-22%
-2%
Ivinhema

ELO progression

Aquidauanense
Ivinhema
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aquidauanense
Aquidauanense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
OAC
Operario Atlético Clube
2 - 1
Aquidauanense
AQU
11%
16%
73%
39 12 27 0
28 Jan. 2023
AQU
Aquidauanense
1 - 0
Novoperário
NOV
63%
21%
16%
38 28 10 +1
22 Jan. 2023
AOU
Dourados AC
1 - 0
Aquidauanense
AQU
49%
23%
29%
39 42 3 -1
24 Apr. 2022
AQU
Aquidauanense
1 - 3
Operário MS
OPE
26%
25%
49%
41 49 8 -2
17 Apr. 2022
NAV
Naviraiense
2 - 0
Aquidauanense
AQU
60%
21%
19%
42 49 7 -1

Matches

Ivinhema
Ivinhema
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2023
IVI
Ivinhema
1 - 0
Dourados AC
AOU
63%
20%
17%
50 43 7 0
29 Jan. 2023
OAC
Operario Atlético Clube
0 - 3
Ivinhema
IVI
9%
14%
77%
50 13 37 0
26 Mar. 2017
NAV
Naviraiense
3 - 1
Ivinhema
IVI
42%
26%
33%
52 50 2 -2
19 Mar. 2017
IVI
Ivinhema
1 - 1
7 de Setembro SM
7DE
55%
24%
21%
52 49 3 0
16 Mar. 2017
IVI
Ivinhema
2 - 3
Águia Negra
AGU
42%
26%
33%
53 54 1 -1