Apurtuarte vs Ortuella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BER
0 - 2
APU
33%
25%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
APU
4 - 2
GAT
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 1
APU
28%
24%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
APU
1 - 3
BFC
51%
24%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
CDG
1 - 0
APU
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ortuella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ORT
3 - 1
SDS
29%
26%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SFC
3 - 2
ORT
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ORT
2 - 1
DER
38%
26%
36%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SDU
0 - 0
ORT
48%
25%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ORT
0 - 0
ZET
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |