Byron Kavala vs Orfeas Xanthi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
12º
11º
30
2º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 4 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Byron Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
APP
1 - 2
BYK
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
BYK
3 - 0
EAA
29%
22%
49%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
AGR
1 - 1
BYK
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
BYK
0 - 1
KAM
19%
20%
62%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
THT
1 - 1
BYK
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Orfeas Xanthi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
OPX
2 - 1
EAA
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
OPX
1 - 1
AGR
18%
24%
58%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
KAM
2 - 0
OPX
61%
20%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
OPX
0 - 1
THT
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PFC
3 - 0
OPX
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |