Aprilia vs Anzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 3
APR
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
APR
1 - 3
LAD
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LAT
0 - 1
APR
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
APR
1 - 0
SAS
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
APR
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
2 - 1
CAS
24%
22%
55%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
ANZ
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
0 - 3
ULD
21%
24%
55%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FLA
3 - 0
ANZ
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 4
LAN
20%
24%
56%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |