APR FC vs Sunrise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
APR
5 - 2
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 3
APR
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POL
0 - 1
APR
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 3
APR
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 4
APR
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunrise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 0
MUS
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 2
SUN
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
EDE
2 - 2
SUN
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
POL
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |