Rwanda League Round 15

APR FC vs Police FC analysis

APR FC Police FC
43 ELO 41
0.5% Tilt -11.1%
7293º General ELO ranking 7601º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.7%
APR FC
23.8%
Draw
23.5%
Police FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
APR FC
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.5%
Win probability
Police FC
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
APR FC
+90%
+12%
Police FC

ELO progression

APR FC
Police FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

APR FC
APR FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2022
ASK
AS Kigali
0 - 0
APR FC
APR
51%
24%
25%
42 42 0 0
19 Jan. 2022
APR
APR FC
1 - 0
Gorilla
GFC
64%
20%
15%
42 38 4 0
16 Jan. 2022
KIY
Kiyovu Sport
0 - 0
APR FC
APR
44%
27%
30%
42 42 0 0
29 Dec. 2021
APR
APR FC
1 - 0
Espoir FC
ESP
53%
24%
24%
42 42 0 0
22 Dec. 2021
EDE
Étoile de l'Est
2 - 2
APR FC
APR
45%
25%
30%
42 39 3 0

Matches

Police FC
Police FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2022
POL
Police FC
1 - 2
Bugesera
BUG
61%
21%
18%
42 37 5 0
20 Jan. 2022
POL
Police FC
1 - 1
Rutsiro
RFC
56%
22%
22%
42 42 0 0
17 Jan. 2022
MUK
Mukura Victory
0 - 1
Police FC
POL
46%
25%
29%
42 42 0 0
29 Dec. 2021
POL
Police FC
3 - 2
Gasogi United
GFC
58%
22%
21%
41 40 1 +1
22 Dec. 2021
RAY
Rayon Sport
1 - 0
Police FC
POL
49%
24%
27%
42 42 0 -1