Rwanda League Round 1

APR FC vs Marines FC analysis

APR FC Marines FC
44 ELO 41
4.5% Tilt -14.1%
7232º General ELO ranking 8550º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
53.2%
APR FC
23.3%
Draw
23.5%
Marines FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
APR FC
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.5%
Win probability
Marines FC
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
APR FC
+94%
-38%
Marines FC

ELO progression

APR FC
Marines FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

APR FC
APR FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2013
APR
APR FC
1 - 1
Etincelles FC
ETI
56%
23%
22%
42 42 0 0
15 May. 2013
LAJ
La Jeunesse
1 - 0
APR FC
APR
52%
25%
24%
42 42 0 0
12 May. 2013
APR
APR FC
3 - 1
Isonga
ISO
58%
23%
19%
42 42 0 0
04 May. 2013
ASK
AS Kigali
0 - 3
APR FC
APR
46%
27%
27%
42 42 0 0
27 Apr. 2013
APR
APR FC
1 - 0
Kiyovu Sport
KIY
60%
22%
18%
42 41 1 0

Matches

Marines FC
Marines FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2013
MAR
Marines FC
0 - 0
La Jeunesse
LAJ
48%
26%
26%
42 42 0 0
15 May. 2013
ASK
AS Kigali
2 - 0
Marines FC
MAR
44%
26%
30%
42 42 0 0
12 May. 2013
MAR
Marines FC
0 - 1
Amagaju
AMA
49%
26%
25%
42 42 0 0
04 May. 2013
ESP
Espoir FC
1 - 1
Marines FC
MAR
47%
25%
28%
42 42 0 0
28 Apr. 2013
MAR
Marines FC
2 - 0
Musanze FC
MUS
46%
25%
28%
42 42 0 0