Appalachian vs LSA Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Appalachian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
4 - 2
NAL
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GER
2 - 0
AFC
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
GSS
0 - 0
AFC
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 1
MLF
65%
18%
17%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
NAL
1 - 1
AFC
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
LSA Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
LSA
2 - 1
MLF
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
NAL
0 - 1
LSA
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
LSA
1 - 2
GSS
29%
22%
50%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LSA
1 - 1
AFC
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GSS
2 - 0
LSA
66%
18%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |