Appalachian vs Salem City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Appalachian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
LSA
0 - 3
AFC
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
GSS
1 - 5
AFC
29%
22%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 1
NAL
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
AFC
4 - 2
LSA
70%
17%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
GER
55%
20%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Salem City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
LON
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
OKS
1 - 2
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASC
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
WVA
2 - 1
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |