APOP Paphos vs Alki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOP Paphos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
ANO
5 - 0
PAP
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
PAP
3 - 0
ARI
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
ETH
4 - 0
PAP
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
PAP
1 - 0
ANA
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
OLY
3 - 1
PAP
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
ALK
2 - 5
APO
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
ENO
3 - 0
ALK
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
ALK
2 - 4
OMO
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
ALK
0 - 2
APE
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
ANO
2 - 1
ALK
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |