Apolonia Fier vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LUS
1 - 2
APO
38%
27%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
APO
3 - 1
ADA
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MAM
1 - 0
APO
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
APO
1 - 0
GRA
72%
19%
9%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
BIL
0 - 1
APO
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
POG
5 - 1
VLO
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
TER
0 - 0
POG
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
POG
2 - 0
BES
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BIL
1 - 2
POG
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 0
POG
22%
26%
51%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |