UCL Qualifying Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Apollon Limassol vs FC Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1991 |
OMO
4 - 0
APO
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
FCU
2 - 0
APO
74%
15%
12%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
ZAR
1 - 1
APO
94%
4%
2%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
APO
0 - 3
ZAR
3%
26%
72%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
APO
2 - 1
MFF
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1991 |
FCU
1 - 3
DBU
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
FCM
0 - 0
FCU
38%
30%
32%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
FCU
2 - 0
APO
74%
15%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1991 |
FCU
1 - 0
CRA
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
GAL
1 - 0
FCU
44%
29%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |