Q. Europa League Play-offs Final
Global 3-3
Apollon Limassol vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 2
APO
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
DIN
1 - 0
APO
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
APO
4 - 0
DIN
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
APO
3 - 1
ZEL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ZEL
1 - 2
APO
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 2
APO
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MNG
0 - 3
BAS
4%
11%
85%
|
84 | 10 | 74 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
1 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 2
SIO
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |