Apollon Smyrnis vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
AEK
2 - 0
APS
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
LAR
0 - 1
APS
29%
29%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
APS
0 - 1
TRI
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
APS
0 - 1
PAN
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
GIA
1 - 3
APS
64%
22%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARI
2 - 0
TRI
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 1
PAN
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 1
AEK
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
GIA
0 - 0
ARI
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2021 |
ARI
2 - 0
VNF
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |