Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda. Final
Global 5-3
APOEL vs Hapoel Beer Sheva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
HBS
2 - 2
APO
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 0
APO
42%
24%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
APO
5 - 0
FLO
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
APO
1 - 0
SUD
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
SUD
3 - 1
APO
35%
26%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
HBS
2 - 2
APO
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
HBS
2 - 2
DZG
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HHA
1 - 1
HBS
31%
25%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
DZG
5 - 0
HBS
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
HBS
3 - 1
FLO
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |