APOEL vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
3º
5º
3º
66
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
PAP
1 - 1
APO
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
OMO
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 0
APO
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
APO
0 - 2
APO
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 2
APO
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
APO
1 - 0
AEK
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 0
OMO
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
PAP
4 - 0
AEK
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 2
APO
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |