Apia Youth vs Moataa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apia Youth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
APY
2 - 4
KIW
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
APY
3 - 0
TOG
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
APY
2 - 1
LSC
62%
20%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
APY
5 - 2
GOL
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
APY
1 - 6
TAI
52%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moataa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
MSC
9 - 3
LSC
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
GOL
1 - 3
MSC
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MSC
1 - 4
ADI
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
TAI
1 - 0
MSC
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
MOU
5 - 3
MSC
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |