Aperibeense vs Rio Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aperibeense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
GOY
0 - 0
AFC
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
AFC
1 - 0
ITA
69%
18%
14%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
SER
0 - 1
AFC
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
AFC
0 - 0
FAC
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
RBC
0 - 2
AFC
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
RBC
0 - 3
ITA
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
RBC
1 - 1
SER
28%
24%
47%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
FAC
2 - 2
RBC
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
RBC
1 - 2
GOY
16%
23%
62%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
RBC
0 - 2
AFC
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |