APEP vs APEA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ELP
3 - 1
APE
26%
25%
50%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ETH
0 - 1
APE
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
APE
2 - 3
DIG
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AGV
1 - 1
APE
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
APE
3 - 1
DIG
37%
27%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
APEA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
APE
3 - 2
ETH
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
DIG
0 - 0
APE
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |