Chions vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
BEL
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 3
CHI
88%
9%
4%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 3
TAM
32%
23%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
CHI
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
ACE
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
DEL
3 - 1
TRE
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TRE
0 - 1
VDB
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CJA
2 - 1
TRE
63%
18%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
TRE
66%
18%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +1 |