Aparecidense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
APA
82%
13%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 2
APA
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
2 - 1
APA
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
APA
7 - 0
AQU
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
JAR
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 3
VIL
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
BRA
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 0
VIL
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
CUI
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +2 |