Aparecidense vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 2
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
APA
1 - 2
ECS
37%
28%
36%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CON
1 - 1
APA
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
APA
3 - 2
FLO
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
APA
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
PAY
2 - 1
BOT
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
PAY
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
PAY
2 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
PAY
2 - 1
VOL
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
ECS
2 - 0
PAY
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |