Aparecidense vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
GOI
3 - 2
APA
86%
11%
4%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
APA
1 - 2
DOM
39%
25%
37%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
APA
0 - 2
ITA
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
INT
0 - 2
APA
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SDJ
1 - 0
APA
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 2
ATL
7%
15%
78%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 1
GRE
25%
23%
53%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
2 - 2
GRE
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
4 - 2
APA
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 2
GOI
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |