Aparecida vs Codessos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PGA
0 - 1
APA
14%
19%
68%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
APA
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 2
APA
74%
15%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
APA
2 - 1
FRE
43%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 0
APA
18%
21%
62%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Codessos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
COD
0 - 2
NEV
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
LAM
0 - 4
COD
32%
22%
46%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PGA
2 - 3
COD
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
COD
3 - 1
CAR
35%
23%
42%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
7 - 1
COD
87%
10%
4%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | -1 |