Apa Poble Sec B vs Aguila UD A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apa Poble Sec B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 5
APS
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
APS
2 - 2
ESC
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 3
APS
45%
21%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
APS
1 - 1
GOL
46%
21%
34%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
EBA
8 - 0
APS
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Aguila UD A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
3 - 12
VAL
46%
20%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FLO
8 - 1
AUD
74%
14%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 5
MON
25%
19%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BES
5 - 1
AUD
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
ESC
43%
20%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |