Aoiz vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
AOI
0 - 1
TUD
9%
20%
72%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
COR
4 - 1
AOI
42%
26%
32%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
AOI
3 - 3
OBE
44%
27%
29%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 1
AOI
54%
23%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
IZA
5 - 1
AOI
82%
13%
5%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 0
SJU
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TUD
2 - 1
UDM
68%
18%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UDM
3 - 0
LOU
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
COR
2 - 2
UDM
14%
22%
65%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UDM
2 - 1
PAM
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |