Antofagasta vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NTA
1 - 0
ANT
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ANT
1 - 0
DLS
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
MAG
0 - 0
ANT
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
4 - 1
ANT
38%
26%
37%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
ANT
1 - 0
ULC
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
3 - 1
CDM
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
EVE
1 - 0
UCO
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
0 - 1
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
DEP
3 - 1
UCO
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
OVA
3 - 2
UCO
61%
21%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |